Jobs and The Cost of Housing

Guest Author: Matt Jolivette

Last week we counted our blessings with regard to the shape of the economy. This week we will talk about the release of the June jobs numbers which give us another reading regarding the health of the economy. Overall this reading was stronger than forecasts. Thus far this year, job growth has been solid, with just over one million jobs created in the first half of the year. This compares to 2.2 million jobs created in 2016, which puts the economy on track to match last year’s numbers. Despite strong jobs growth for the month, the unemployment rate rose to 4.4% last month, but that is not necessarily a bad thing, as it typically means that more long-term unemployed are re-entering the workforce.

Just as important as the jobs created, wages increased by 0.2% last month and 2.5% over the last year, which was slightly lower than economists expected. Higher wages are important, because they positively influence consumer spending for big ticket items.

For example, if wages do not go up as fast as the cost of housing, this provides a burden on renters and discourages home buying as well. Recently, home price data for April, as measured by the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index, showed another record high — the fifth consecutive month of new peaks. Does that mean that housing will become unaffordable?

We caution you against reaching that conclusion. The First American Real Home Price Index currently shows that housing prices are still around 33% below their peak. To calculate the “real” cost of housing under the Real Home Price Index, incomes and mortgage rates are used to inflate or deflate house prices which are unadjusted for inflation in order to better reflect consumers’ purchasing power and capture the true cost of housing. It should be noted that lower interest rates do not directly benefit renters.

The message? As long as rates stay low, housing is still more affordable today than it was when peak prices were achieved a decade ago.

Searching for Real Estate

My phone app http://app.summarealty.com/SMAFZ, has recently been updated.  If you are looking to purchase, this is a great way to search.  Or, if you want instant notifications from RMLS™, please let me know and I can arrange for you to receive alerts for listings as soon as they come on the market for sale.

Or go to my website http://bettyjung.com for additional information.

Thinking of Selling Your Lake Oswego Home?

Interest rates are still low and there is still a huge pool of buyer demand. Buyers are ready and willing to purchase your home. Call me at 503-804-9685 if you are thinking of making a move.

Moving to Lake Oswego?

Want to know more about Lake Oswego? I’d love to be your buyer’s agent, please give me a call at 503-804-9685.

Having worked in Lake Oswego as a Real Estate Broker since 1978 and lived in Lake Oswego since 1988, I know all the neighborhoods. I am ready to assist you with all your real estate needs! “There is no substitute for experience.”

ALL ABOUT…..Lake Oswego Real Estate. Copyright 2008-2017. Betty Jung. All Rights Reserved. Use of this article, photos and images without permission is a violation of Federal copyright laws.

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